The rugby league world is on the brink of a seismic shift, and it's not just about the players on the field. The impending exodus of star playmakers from various clubs is set to create a frenzy in the halves market, leaving fans and analysts alike on the edge of their seats. But here's where it gets controversial: with 28 players off-contract in 2026, the question arises—who will secure the most coveted signatures, and at what cost? And this is the part most people miss: the ripple effect of these transfers could reshape the league's landscape for years to come.
The halfback and five-eighth positions are the brains of any rugby league team, yet they remain two of the hardest spots to fill due to a scarcity of quality playmakers. Most top-tier players are already locked into long-term contracts, forcing clubs to take calculated risks on unproven talents. This high-stakes game of musical chairs is further complicated by the entry of the Perth Bears in 2027, who are free to start signing players from November 1, 2026. The upcoming transfer deadline promises to be a spectacle, especially with the halves market in such flux.
Take the case of Coby Black, the 19-year-old once seen as the heir to Adam Reynolds' No.7 jersey at the Broncos. The shock signing of Jonah Pezet has thrown Black's future into doubt, leaving him potentially on the market. While he's yet to make his NRL debut, his impressive Queensland Cup stats (7 tries, 22 goals in 21 games) have caught the eye of rival clubs. The Cowboys, no strangers to poaching promising halves, could be in the mix, but the Titans seem more desperate for a long-term halfback. However, Black's true potential remains untested at the NRL level, making him a wildcard in this transfer saga.
Tanah Boyd is another intriguing case. At 25, he's failed to cement himself as a top-tier NRL halfback, despite scoring 9 tries in 78 games. Yet, his performance in the Warriors' NSW Cup title charge last season hints at untapped potential. With the Warriors committed to Luke Metcalf as their long-term halfback, Boyd might seek a fresh start with an expansion side like the Perth Bears, where he could finally establish himself as a consistent No.7.
Jake Clifford, a versatile playmaker capable of covering both five-eighth and halfback, finds himself at a crossroads. Despite scoring 17 tries and 76 goals in 89 NRL games, he hasn't quite nailed down a consistent starting spot. Entering his prime years, Clifford could be a target for the Perth Bears or PNG Chiefs if the Cowboys don't secure him. His experience and versatility make him an attractive option in a market starved for quality playmakers.
Tom Duffy, once a long-term prospect for the Cowboys, has been forced to switch to the Broncos due to the club's decision to pair Tom Dearden with Jaxson Purdue in the halves. With limited NRL opportunities at the Broncos, Duffy's future could lie elsewhere. His impressive Queensland Cup stats (12 tries, 189 goals) and young age make him a highly regarded talent, with the Titans or Bears potential landing spots.
Chanel Harris-Tavita, a consistent performer for the Warriors, has scored 19 tries and 63 goals in 95 games since 2019. As the Warriors look to lock in a halves partner for Luke Metcalf, Harris-Tavita seems ahead of Te Maire Martin in the pecking order. However, if the Warriors opt for a new five-eighth, this international star could become a hot commodity on the open market.
Lachlan Ilias, after a rough couple of years with limited game time and injuries, is reportedly set to join the Gold Coast Titans. With 10 tries in 60 NRL games, Ilias has the potential to be a consistent playmaker. If Josh Hannay can unlock his best form, Ilias could be the halfback the Titans desperately need, allowing Jayden Campbell to shift to five-eighth.
Kodi Nikorima, despite being 31, remains a vital member of the Dolphins squad, according to CEO Terry Reader. With his contract expiring in 2026, Nikorima's future is uncertain, especially with George Williams joining the club. However, his versatility and experience could see him stay at the Dolphins or move to a new franchise like the Perth Bears.
Jaxson Purdue, a talent with a bright future, is set to hit the open market. While his long-term position is likely at five-eighth or fullback, Purdue's desire to play in the halves could influence his decision. The Cowboys are keen to retain him, but with his potential to be a cornerstone player for the next decade, Purdue will have no shortage of suitors.
Adam Reynolds, the veteran halfback, has declared he could play on beyond 2026, sparking renewed interest from clubs. The Perth Bears could be an ideal fit, offering him a mentoring role alongside rising talent. Meanwhile, the Tigers, who previously showed interest, could revisit their pursuit of Reynolds to partner Jarome Luai.
Jayden Campbell, the Titans' livewire, has seamlessly transitioned from fullback to five-eighth, showcasing his versatility and potential. With the Titans reportedly offering a five-year, $4.5 million extension, Campbell seems likely to stay. However, the Perth Bears' blank cheque book could tempt the 25-year-old with a huge-money offer to lead a new team.
As the November 1 deadline approaches, the NRL halves market is poised for a dramatic shake-up. With so many talented playmakers available, clubs must make bold decisions that could define their future success. But the real question is: who will emerge as the winners in this high-stakes game of musical chairs, and which clubs will be left scrambling to fill their halves positions? The answers will not only shape the upcoming season but also set the tone for the league's future. What's your take? Which clubs do you think will make the smartest moves, and which players are most likely to become game-changers for their new teams? Let the debate begin!
